Insideout

Domestic influences on foreign policy in China, AProf Shahar Hameiri

Maritime issues have emerged as one of the most important security issues in the Indo-Pacific, driving major powers to strategically adjust their policies towards the region. During the past decade, maritime disputes have escalated to the point where the regional order is being affected and the risk of subsequent armed conflict cannot be entirely ruled out.

Session 3:
The SOUTH CHINA SEA and China-US Relations: A case of great power rivalry, reluctant entanglement and/or strategic exaggeration?

Much debate has been waged about whether recent tensions over the South China Sea are primarily a result of ‘great power rivalry’ or the U.S. being ‘reluctantly drawn in’ due to alliance obligations and concerns about the implications of regional instability. What does the empirical evidence suggest about the dynamics and motivations informing China-U.S. relations (vis-.-vis the South China Sea) and what are the implications of such a state-of-affairs for the South China Sea and the regional order? What do China and the U.S. want and are their respective positions reconcilable? Is China a Pacific Power or (as some suggest) does its behaviour in the South China Sea indicate otherwise? Conversely, what are the implications of the South China Sea dispute for great power relations and the evolution of the foreign and defence policy positions within China and the U.S.? Could the China-US-South China Sea nexus serve as a litmus test for future trends in the regional/ global orders? What can be done by the great powers to mitigate the South China Sea disputes; reduce the risk of regional conflict; and avert a dangerous shift towards a more competitive and even hostile world order? Moreover, to what extent may Beijing’s policy stance over the South China Sea, including militarisation of the disputes, be driven by domestic considerations such as nationalism and state fragility.

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שלג בירושלים Snow in Jerusalem 2015

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